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The Elements of Power: Technology, Geopolitics, and the Four Futures of the Rare Earths Market
Scenario planning for rare earth supply chains: From China’s continued dominance to circular economy breakthroughs. An exercise in modeling critical mineral futures through 2040.
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AI in Government: Resilience in an Era of AI Monoculture
Red flags and musings from OpenAI sycophancy, xAI manipulation, and AI coups
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Algorithmic Kill Markets and Reward Hacking
The complexities of Ukraine’s Kill Market and rewards-based warfare resource allocation.
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Currency Collapse
When reckless tariffs shatter global finance, one economist must navigate political denial and state rebellion to manage the end of dollar dominance.
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The Case For Geopolitical Financial Speculation
The development of comprehensive geopolitical financial instruments is not only inevitable but potentially beneficial for global stability, if properly designed and regulated.